Friday evening the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal broke the news that Russian military intelligence secretly offered bounties to Taliban-linked militants for killing coalition forces, including American troops, in Afghanistan. According to both stories, President Trump and the National Security Council were briefed on the intelligence in late March and the NSC developed a list of possible responses including a diplomatic protest and escalating sanctions. The President has yet to order any of thoseactions.
The history of the tense relationship between Russia and the U.S. is a long one. The two countries had been allies in World War II but relations deteriorated rapidly afterward. Soviet Russia established communist states under its influence in Eastern Europe and, in 1948, attempted to block American access to the U.S. occupation zone in West Berlin. Perceiving Russian expansion to be a threat to western Europe’s democracies, representatives of the United States, Canada and ten European countries in April of 1949 agreed to a military alliance, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, in which an attack against one member would be considered an attack against all. The Cold War between Soviet Russia and the U.S. would continue for another 42 years, but after the establishment of NATO no other European nation would fall under Russian domination.
The Cold War ended in 1991 with the collapse of communist rule in Russia. In 1999, Vladimir Putin, a former Soviet intelligence officer, was elected as Russian president. Since that time he has pursued the goal of restoring to Russia the prestige it had when it was one of the world’s two superpowers. Over the last decade he has seized the Crimean Peninsula from Ukraine, sent troops and equipment to aid separatist forces in eastern Ukraine, deployed military forces to Syria to oppose U.S.-backed fighters and interfered in the domestic politics of European countries and the U.S.
It is an understatement to say that Putin’s Russia has done nothing to lower concerns about its aggressive behavior in Europe and elsewhere. Still, on June 5, the Trump administration abruptly and without explanation announced that the U.S. would cut its NATO troop presence in Germany by 25%. The move drew criticism from members of both parties in Congress. Twenty-two Republican members of the House Armed Services Committee sent a letter to the President saying that “We believe that such steps would significantly damage U.S. national security as well as strengthen the position of Russia to our detriment.”
The 9,500 or so troops to be withdrawn will likely include forces that would provide mobility and air power crucial for NATO’s ability to respond to a crises in member states on Russia’s border. Poland and the Baltic states will be more vulnerable as will the American personnel who remain. A withdrawal would also be a clear signal that Trump is not serious about defending Europe and further undermine European confidence that America is reliable.
After democracy in western Europe was snuffed out by Adolph Hitler, the United States was inevitably drawn in to a world war at great cost in American blood and treasure. Preserving the independence of our allies in NATO is a vital American interest.
The withdrawal of American troops from Germany will be be a step toward weakening NATO as an obstacle to Russian aggression. If the reports concerning Russian bounties on the lives of American soldiers are accurate, then the decision is more than an outrageous disregard of American security interests, it is an act of profound disloyalty.
Vladimir Putin is no friend of democracy. Since coming to power he has transformed Russia into an autocracy and interfered in elections in Europe and the United States Yet it is he who is the chief beneficiary of Trump’s decision. It is an astonishing coup for the leader of a declining power with a shrinking population, a GDP the size of Italy’s and an economy that’s overwhelmingly dependent on revenues from raw materials.
© 2020 Ron Koehler